Accurate U.S. Oil Production Data for Strategic Insights
Powered by TGS Well Data, our model delivers accurate and timely insights into U.S. oil production, helping energy professionals stay ahead of market trends and make informed decisions.
This model incorporates the most recent data from state regulators and mastered well records to offer a clear picture of both historical and current U.S. daily oil production. By analyzing active wells and including monthly rig activity from the Baker Hughes Rig Count, it also forecasts U.S. new well oil production, giving you forward-looking insights into future output potential.
Covering both conventional and unconventional oil fields, the model extends its reach across all major shale plays, delivering detailed views of U.S. oil production by basin and enabling accurate comparisons across regions. Whether you're tracking U.S. daily crude oil production or looking for an actionable U.S. oil market insight, our model provides the clarity you need.
Explore in-depth production trends, anticipate changes in U.S. oil production by major shale plays, and support your investment, exploration, or development strategies with confidence.
To learn more about well-by-well monthly production data, contact us at WDPSales@tgs.com or visit TGS Well Data Analytics.
Discover Comprehensive U.S. Production Data
In 2025, the TGS Well Data Products team expanded its focus on publishing production intelligence with a stronger emphasis on timeliness and transparency. Alongside continued Weekly Spotlight and Well Intel articles, we introduced a new model that allows users to explore aggregated U.S. oil production statistics through the current month. By combining forecasted and predicted data with historical production, the model helps overcome delays in public reporting and offers a more current view of domestic oil production trends.
Public production reporting in the U.S. is fragmented. State agencies operate under different standards and timelines, which creates inconsistencies in how and when oil and gas data is released. As a result, it is difficult to access accurate, real-time production information. While the EIA and other organizations publish estimates, they may rely on third-party data or models that do not fully align with the sources used by TGS. The goal of the TGS model is to provide an independent view with clearly defined inputs and methodologies. This supports better analysis of national production patterns and key influencing factors.
Many companies rely on outdated and fragmented production data from state government agencies or third-party sources that are not always accurate or timely. TGS’ approach is different. We leverage our proprietary production data model to ensure that our users receive the most reliable and timely insights available. This model is based on a combination of historical records and forecast data, making it far more current than many public resources.
Our model is designed to address the lag between when wells are drilled and when they appear in public production data. By identifying where drilling activity has occurred and predicting production before it is officially reported, we give users earlier access to insights on shifting supply trends.
Instead of navigating varying reporting standards across dozens of state agencies, users can explore a unified view of U.S. production. The model provides consistent, monthly snapshots of estimated output at a national level, with the option to explore major basins and regions as the model evolves.
The foundation of this model is the TGS Well Performance Dataset, developed over more than a decade of collecting and enriching regulatory and rig data. It incorporates insights from public records, hard-copy reports and drilling activity, all combined to create a more complete picture of U.S. offshore and onshore oil production.
The TGS U.S. production model is continuously updated and refined. As more data becomes available and as drilling and completion trends shift, the model will evolve. Our aim is to deliver a resource that helps analysts, operators and decision-makers act with more confidence in a fast-moving market.
Frequently Asked Questions
This FAQ answers common questions about the TGS U.S. oil production model, which delivers independent and data-driven insight into U.S. oil production by combining regulatory data, rig activity and proprietary well information. Learn how the model works, what sets it apart, how we ensure accuracy and how you can access real-time production forecasts.
The TGS U.S. oil production model integrates historical production data, real-time drilling activity, and forecasting techniques to provide accurate insights into U.S. oil production. By leveraging state regulatory data, Baker Hughes rig counts, and TGS proprietary well data, the model overcomes public reporting delays and predicts trends in U.S. daily crude oil production. The model is built on three key datasets:
- Recorded Historic U.S. Oil Production – Collected from state agencies, mastered, and allocated to unique well identifiers down to the completion event API 14.
- Forecasted Future Production – Uses a P50 ARPS decline model to project production trends based on historical well performance.
- Predicted Wells & Production – Estimates monthly U.S. new well oil production by analyzing active drilling activity provided by Baker Hughes and filling data gaps with type-well profiles calibrated to key basins and landing zones.
TGS has built a comprehensive data set using over 100 years of public and proprietary well, completion, production and injection data. To enhance accuracy, TGS:
- Standardizes well records at multiple levels, including well system, wellbore, and completion events.
- Aggregates production and injection data across lease, field, and well levels.
- Includes supporting metadata, such as well depths, completion details, and production dates.
To address gaps in public datasets, TGS also:
- Extracts missing details from hard-copy completion reports.
- Digitizes physical records from district offices.
- Integrates Baker Hughes rig data to track active drilling activity, fill in gaps in delayed production reporting and predict future well production.
This enhanced data set enables better forecasting of U.S. new well oil production and provides valuable U.S. oil market insight for industry stakeholders.
U.S. oil production data is reported across multiple state agencies, each with different reporting standards, leading to delays and inconsistencies. Regulatory QC and processing further slow data availability, making real-time reporting difficult. While the EIA and other models provide similar estimates, their methodologies can often be opaque and difficult to comprehend. The TGS U.S. oil production model provides an independent and transparent approach, offering an accurate and real-time view of U.S. daily oil production trends and U.S. oil production by basin.
TGS validates its forecasts through continuous comparison with actual production data. We regularly back-test our predictions against historical data to refine our forecasting methodology and provide transparent accuracy metrics to our users.
Our U.S. oil production data updates follow this schedule:
- State regulatory data: Updated biweekly, monthly, or yearly, depending on the state's reporting frequency
- New well information: Added within 24-48 hours of regulatory filing
- Rig count data: Updated weekly with Baker Hughes releases
- US oil production forecasts: Recalibrated monthly to incorporate the latest actual production data
TGS updates its U.S. oil production model monthly, publishing the latest production data and forecasts online. Users can access this data completely free, with no subscription required via our interactive web-based dashboard on this page.
To gain real-time U.S. oil market insight, visit the dashboard or contact our onshore products team at WDPSales@tgs.com.
Additional Insights
Pumping the Brakes on Oil Production
5/12/2025 - What does less than $60/bbl mean for U.S. Production? After previous reports of reduction in oil rig counts, the trend continues amid global market uncertainty induced by tariffs and trade wars despite expected increases in energy demand...
What Could Drill Baby Drill Mean in the Gulf?
4/28/2025 - Earlier this month the U.S. Department of the Interior announced the first steps in a new program for offshore oil and gas leases in the outer continental shelf. This new program is expected to include significantly more lease sales...
Real-Time Oil Insights: TGS' Data-Driven Approach to U.S. Oil Trends
2/3/2025 - Moving into 2025 the TGS Onshore Products team is taking a more intense focus on publishing news and intelligence. That includes continued weekly spotlight and well intel articles, but we’ll also be introducing...
Industry Updates
Stay informed with our daily Industry Updates newsletter, delivering timely news, operator activity highlights and key drilling developments straight to your inbox. Each Monday, gain deeper perspective with our Weekly Spotlight—expert commentary and analysis from TGS specialists on the latest trends shaping the energy sector.
Speak to a Specialist
To learn more about well-by-well monthly production data, contact us at WDPSales@tgs.com or fill out the form and we’ll connect you to the right person on our Well Data Products team.