Powered by TGS Well Data, our model delivers accurate and timely insights into U.S. oil production, helping energy professionals stay ahead of market trends and make informed decisions.
This model incorporates the most recent data from state regulators and mastered well records to offer a clear picture of both historical and current U.S. daily oil production. By analyzing active wells and including monthly rig activity from the Baker Hughes Rig Count, it also forecasts U.S. new well oil production, giving you forward-looking insights into future output potential.
Covering both conventional and unconventional oil fields, the model extends its reach across all major shale plays, delivering detailed views of U.S. oil production by basin and enabling accurate comparisons across regions. Whether you're tracking U.S. daily crude oil production or looking for an actionable U.S. oil market insight, our model provides the clarity you need.
Explore in-depth production trends, anticipate changes in U.S. oil production by major shale plays, and support your investment, exploration, or development strategies with confidence.
To learn more about well-by-well monthly production data, contact us at WDPSales@tgs.com or visit TGS Well Data Analytics.
In 2025, the TGS Well Data Products team expanded its focus on publishing production intelligence with a stronger emphasis on timeliness and transparency. Alongside continued Weekly Spotlight and Well Intel articles, we introduced a new model that allows users to explore aggregated U.S. oil production statistics through the current month. By combining forecasted and predicted data with historical production, the model helps overcome delays in public reporting and offers a more current view of domestic oil production trends.
Public production reporting in the U.S. is fragmented. State agencies operate under different standards and timelines, which creates inconsistencies in how and when oil and gas data is released. As a result, it is difficult to access accurate, real-time production information. While the EIA and other organizations publish estimates, they may rely on third-party data or models that do not fully align with the sources used by TGS. The goal of the TGS model is to provide an independent view with clearly defined inputs and methodologies. This supports better analysis of national production patterns and key influencing factors.
Many companies rely on outdated and fragmented production data from state government agencies or third-party sources that are not always accurate or timely. TGS’ approach is different. We leverage our proprietary production data model to ensure that our users receive the most reliable and timely insights available. This model is based on a combination of historical records and forecast data, making it far more current than many public resources.
Our model is designed to address the lag between when wells are drilled and when they appear in public production data. By identifying where drilling activity has occurred and predicting production before it is officially reported, we give users earlier access to insights on shifting supply trends.
Instead of navigating varying reporting standards across dozens of state agencies, users can explore a unified view of U.S. production. The model provides consistent, monthly snapshots of estimated output at a national level, with the option to explore major basins and regions as the model evolves.
The foundation of this model is the TGS Well Performance Dataset, developed over more than a decade of collecting and enriching regulatory and rig data. It incorporates insights from public records, hard-copy reports and drilling activity, all combined to create a more complete picture of U.S. offshore and onshore oil production.
The TGS U.S. production model is continuously updated and refined. As more data becomes available and as drilling and completion trends shift, the model will evolve. Our aim is to deliver a resource that helps analysts, operators and decision-makers act with more confidence in a fast-moving market.
This FAQ answers common questions about the TGS U.S. oil production model, which delivers independent and data-driven insight into U.S. oil production by combining regulatory data, rig activity and proprietary well information. Learn how the model works, what sets it apart, how we ensure accuracy and how you can access real-time production forecasts.
The TGS U.S. oil production model integrates historical production data, real-time drilling activity, and forecasting techniques to provide accurate insights into U.S. oil production. By leveraging state regulatory data, Baker Hughes rig counts, and TGS proprietary well data, the model overcomes public reporting delays and predicts trends in U.S. daily crude oil production. The model is built on three key datasets:
TGS has built a comprehensive data set using over 100 years of public and proprietary well, completion, production and injection data. To enhance accuracy, TGS:
To address gaps in public datasets, TGS also:
This enhanced data set enables better forecasting of U.S. new well oil production and provides valuable U.S. oil market insight for industry stakeholders.
U.S. oil production data is reported across multiple state agencies, each with different reporting standards, leading to delays and inconsistencies. Regulatory QC and processing further slow data availability, making real-time reporting difficult. While the EIA and other models provide similar estimates, their methodologies can often be opaque and difficult to comprehend. The TGS U.S. oil production model provides an independent and transparent approach, offering an accurate and real-time view of U.S. daily oil production trends and U.S. oil production by basin.
TGS validates its forecasts through continuous comparison with actual production data. We regularly back-test our predictions against historical data to refine our forecasting methodology and provide transparent accuracy metrics to our users.
Our U.S. oil production data updates follow this schedule:
TGS updates its U.S. oil production model monthly, publishing the latest production data and forecasts online. Users can access this data completely free, with no subscription required via our interactive web-based dashboard on this page.
To gain real-time U.S. oil market insight, visit the dashboard or contact our onshore products team at WDPSales@tgs.com.
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To learn more about well-by-well monthly production data, contact us at WDPSales@tgs.com or fill out the form and we’ll connect you to the right person on our Well Data Products team.
